Well I have to say, looking at that new explanation, it almost adds up to what I would have come up with. A sensible weighted time average (100-50-30-20 for last four years), a much better recognition of different competitions (1.00 for friendlies up to 4.00 for World Cup finals games), and best of all, for intra-continental matches outside World Cup finals, a straightforward weighting based on, and I quote, "wins per game in last 3 World Cups".
I'm suddenly finding it hard to question the relative positions, except - obviously - Portugal and then Germany have suffered to a real extent by not having had two years of earning 2x the points every time they stuff Azerbaijan in a qualifier. I bet if FIFA corrected that mind-blowingly obvious flaw (perhaps by simply awarding them 200 points or whatever is the average extra earnt by major tournament qualifiers as opposed to hosts), both those countries would nestle in above England, which would make this ranking virtually spot on. Still don't understand the African teams' relative rankings though.
Posts: 15858 | From: this corner of the bar you can only see half of the big screen | Registered: Aug 2003
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